Top picks 2012: Lennar

After 5 straight profitable quarters, analysts see earnings for this homebuilder leaping next year.

By TheStockAdvisors Dec 27, 2011 4:58PM
Image: Home under construction (© Corbis)This post is one in a series in which more than 50 newsletter advisors share their Top Stock Picks for 2012

By Michael Cintolo, Cabot Market Letter

Throughout market history, three-quarters of all big winners have been growth stocks -- those with big sales and earnings, huge profit margins and a unique and potentially revolutionary new product and service.

But the other quarter of big winners have been turnaround stories, as earnings rocket higher following a tough year or two or three.

Today, I think homebuilding (and other housing-related) stocks are in the midst of a big turnaround, and Lennar (LEN) could ride that wave to big gains in 2012.

The company, of course, has been a terrible performer for five years as the housing bust dragged on.

But, impressively, Lennar has notched five straight profitable quarters despite the horrid conditions, has recently been topping estimates and has cut costs to the bone. Analysts see earnings leaping 59% next year.

We're already seeing some pickup in broad industry statistics like housing starts, which are literally coming off 50-year lows.

That's a key point -- no one (including me) is calling for a new housing boom, but if activity simply moves up to average levels, it would imply a near-doubling in demand!

With all the weak hands out and major signs of accumulation since the stock's October low, I think Lennar should do very well in the year ahead.

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a free daily review of the favorite stock ideas of the nation's top financial newsletter advisors.

Tags: LEN
1Comment
Dec 28, 2011 10:32PM
avatar

Homebuilders in midst of big turnaround!!!

 

Whatever you're smoking I want some.

 

 

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