Baidu: Searching for growth in China
Despite Wall Street skepticism, this remains one Chinese stock worth buying.
Chinese search provider Baidu (BIDU) reported its third-quarter results last week; the top line grew at its slowest pace in three years and its fourth-quarter guidance was below Wall Street's expectations.
That aside, Baidu still reported results that other companies would envy. Revenue grew by 50% and profit by nearly 60% as the company added a record number of business customers.
In addition to dealing with a slowdown in China's economic growth, Baidu faces new competition from Qihoo 360 Technology, maker of China's most popular Web portal.
However, concerns about Qihoo strike us as a bit overdone. Baidu is so dominant in the China search market -- with a 78.6% market share -- the entrance of a smaller competitor is unlikely to dramatically alter its position.
Baidu still has a lot of opportunity in front of it. The exploding growth of smartphones in China dramatically increases the size of the potential market. Navigating the switch from a PC-based search business to a mobile one is daunting, but no more daunting for Baidu than it is for Google in the U.S.
We think that growth potential more than offsets any concerns investors might have about slower economic growth in China as a whole and increased competition. Excluding its $8.44 per share in net cash and investments, Baidu now trades at a bit above 16 times the 2013 EPS consensus, making it a fairly inexpensive growth stock in our view.
Investing in China has its risks, but Baidu is one of the few Chinese stocks we'd consider buying, especially down at these levels.
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