We need these corrections
The sell-offs in silver, oil and stocks are necessary for markets to go higher on the basis of reality.
Looks like total end-of-the-world alert time. Let's spin it: Commodities prices are collapsing because there is a sudden cessation in demand, brought about by skyrocketing commodities prices. Because gasoline (which is going down now) had gone up so much, the consumer doesn't have enough left to spend. And because food prices (which are going to plummet) went up so much, households don't have enough left from their paychecks to buy anything.
When we see the prices of the big metals come down, something that the Chinese government has been waiting for so it can stop tightening its economy, then we have to sell stocks, because the Chinese government is tightening.
Housing prices, which are being kept down by aggressive selling of foreclosed homes, as the most recent existing-home sales numbers tell you, will keep going down because the foreclosed homes are weighing on pricing. Of course, the fact that even with all of the foreclosed homes being sold pricing is only off about 5% doesn't matter. Housing is crashing!
Yep, the presumption that margin calls and collateral calls have nothing to do with this nonsense and it is all "real" economy-driven is fanciful, especially when you realize that a couple of hedge funds and the U.S. Oil (USO) ETF may have been responsible for as much as $20 in oil price increases and that the former are being slaughtered by the new capital requirements.
Look, the commodities bubble -- and we all knew it was a bubble, as we saw from the oil levitation -- is being pricked with the right tool: higher margin requirements.
We know that's what happened to silver. The higher prices never really dampened industrial demand, but it was about to occur, at least in jewelry. But the higher margin requirements popped that bubble and will keep doing it until silver returns to valuations more in keeping with gold, a commodity that is in genuinely short supply.
Now oil -- which is not in short supply but was in a "cornered" mode by a few hedge funds, just as it was cornered in 2008 up to $147 -- is bursting, again, but this time before it could wreck the world's economies.
The euro, which was an anomaly, given the troubles it was having, did get overheated, and it is correcting.
All of these are corrections that needed to occur if we were going to go higher on the basis of reality rather than borrowed money.
The only question to me is how deep the correction has to be before the weak hands are gone and we can see the real strength, sans inflation, that the world is capable of. A world that will be led by China, which will not fear commodity inflation so it can go easier on tightening, and the United States, where Ben Bernanke is already being proved right about the temporal nature of the commodity rise?
Lest we forget, we have growing employment. Friday wasn't that long ago. Surely we haven't forgotten that number, right? And we have big retailers like Macy's (M) saying consumers are spending and spending within their means, and it's producing excellent results for a chain of stores that is in 48 states and represents the best barometer of middle-class spending in the nation.
So, sell away. It's May.
We're looking to get back into the positions we sold into strength -- and looking to do it today.
At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.
Follow Cramer's trades for his Charitable Trust.
Regular everyday people have no idea when or why these hedge funds are making their moves.
This is all the more reason why original people have no business being involved in the stock market or buying commodities.
Let the hedge funds complete with other hedges funds, its their game now.
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