Top picks 2012: Fortuna Silver Mines
As production ramps up in Mexico, this miner offers investors an opportunity to profit from rising silver prices.
This post is one in a series in which over 50 newsletter advisors share their Top Picks for 2012. By Tyler Laundon, Small Cap Investor
The Fed's move in early December to essentially backstop the entire global financial system by becoming the lender of last resort is bullish for precious metals over the long term. My favorite way to play this trend is to purchase emerging gold and silver producers. Accordingly, my favorite stock for 2012 is Fortuna Silver Mines (FSM).
The catalyst I've been expecting to move this stock higher is the opening of the company's second major mine -- the San Jose Mine in the silver-rich Sierra Madre Mountains of Mexico. Silver production began there on Sept. 1.
The company's first flagship mine, Caylloma, is located in Peru. It purchased Caylloma in 2005, upgraded the plant, and increased production by 150%. Looking at both mines in the third quarter of 2011, silver production was up by 40% to 660,749 ounces compared to the third quarter of 2010. Most came from Caylloma.
With the average price of silver at $35.16 per ounce, Fortuna's revenues rose 80% in the third quarter. Net income was $10.31 million, a huge improvement over a loss of $770,000 the previous year, and operating income surged to $14.89 million from $1.03 million. The company now sits on $62.73 million in cash.
Fortuna plans to produce 2.75 million ounces from the San Jose mine in 2012. At last year's average silver price, this would be worth around $100 million for the company. Revenues could more than double over the year, just based on current production plans and stable silver prices. The bottom line is that Fortuna's production growth from the San Jose mine gives investors excellent exposure to silver prices.
Long term, I expect this stock has the potential to double or more as forecast production comes on line. We’re seeing the glory days for silver production in Mexico, and I think we can expect great things to come from Fortuna. (Full disclosure: Tyler Laundon owns shares of Fortuna Silver Mines.)
Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a free daily review of the favorite stock ideas of the nation's top financial newsletter advisors.
MORE ON MSN MONEY
DATA PROVIDERS
Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
LATEST POSTS
All hail the bull market, which ended the week with a big rally. But it also is starting to look a little like 1987, which suffered an epic blow-out.
FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS
- How to sell covered calls - Fidelity Investments
- Savvy year-end tax moves to consider now - Fidelity Investments
- Seven ways to prepare for tax changes
- Five reasons an annual review is crucial - Fidelity Investments
- Take a look at mid caps now - Fidelity Investments
- State of the sector: Health care - Fidelity Investments
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
ABOUT
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.
