Why gold remains compelling

Unless you think Europe is out of the woods, treat the metal as a currency and buy it into any weakness.

By Jim Cramer Apr 17, 2012 9:05AM

Image: Gold (© Anthony Bradshaw/Photographer)Is gold finished? I'd say it is about as finished as all of the other times in the past dozen years that it has been finished. It's just that the obituary has received more notice lately.

 

Once again I find myself on the defensive about gold, as I have been many times in the past eight years of liking the precious metal.

 

This time the thinking is that we are in an era of permanently low growth, aided by the potential of a deflationary collapse in Europe.

 

Sure, that's possible. The difficulty I have in getting negative on that news is that I don't regard gold as a haven that goes up only in an inflationary environment. I regard gold as an alternative to the euro, and I see nothing that tells me the euro is suddenly in good standing, other than an intra-morning reversal in that ultimately unworkable currency.

 

Related Articles

I want you to think, for a moment, what you would do if you were a wealthy Spanish person. You are desperate to preserve your worth. You can't do it by buying euros, that's for certain. Who really wants the U.S. dollar, which gives you no real return, given that you would be buying short-term bills or notes if you were to make that purchase?

 

But gold?

 

I think people forget the incredible affinity for gold among the Spanish. If you go back to the Spanish Civil War, the Republicans, desperate for aid from the Soviet Union, had to part with their prized possession, their huge gold holdings. Some observers at the time actually felt the Republicans might be willing to go down to defeat rather than surrender their gold.

 

Believe me, gold is the refuge currency they will choose. Italy is no different, and remember: While these are not rich countries, they have a lot of rich people.

 

The Chinese have been buying gold. The Indians are in an internal tussle about taxing gold purchases. But believe me, unless you think Europe is out of the woods, you want to buy gold -- not the stocks but the metal and its ETFs -- into any weakness. Gold is a currency, not just a metal, and when you put it like that, you know the currency is resting. And nothing more.

 

Jim Cramer

Jim Cramer is a co-founder of TheStreet and contributes daily market commentary to the financial news network's sites. Follow his trades for Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust.

31Comments
Apr 17, 2012 1:36PM
avatar

It is estimated that 100 times the amount of gold and silver that actually exist is traded each day in the paper markets. This is how their prices can be manipulated lower. It's a game that's worked for 30 years. Unfortunately, China and India see how the game works as well and they're accumulating the real thing. Soon...game over. Look for gold to exceed $5,000 and silver $300.

Apr 17, 2012 11:02AM
avatar
Gold may fluctuate in price but as long as the US continues to devalue its fiat currency and owe $15 trillion, gold will remain a good investment. 
I agree......and remember, the U.S. was still borrowing its **** off in the height of the real estate boom when everything was on fire!  So when will our situation be "good enough" that we DON'T deficit spend?  Answer?  Never.  The U.S. will eventually default because we no longer have any morals or stomach to pay back all those trillions.  Everything is short term thinking now.  Any austerity would only last about 6 months.
Apr 17, 2012 11:53AM
avatar
remember that other than jewelry and some industrial applications that gold has no real worth..........example:in​ tough times you can't buy my water for any amount of gold.........even if i wanted to sell you my water how would we make change?

Huh... Gold is traded as a currency (XAU) just like fiat (USD), but yet has no real worth? Even though I fear where YOUR water came from, I would be more than glad to trade you MY water ounce for ounce for your gold. No need to make change, gold is worthless anyway - not.  If anyone thinks gold is worthless, try taking some away from your wife; suddenly it is worth your life.

Apr 17, 2012 10:44AM
avatar
Gold may fluctuate in price but as long as the US continues to devalue its fiat currency and owe $15 trillion, gold will remain a good investment.
Apr 17, 2012 2:49PM
avatar
I can't believe I am actually typing these words but JIM CRAMER IS RIGHT!!! The conspiracy theorist in me says that all of his previous missed calls are just so people will ignore him when he gets it right!!!Smile
Apr 17, 2012 12:05PM
avatar
Merlina,
I don't know where you live, but the best way to buy small amounts of gold (sometimes large) at cheap prices is to go to yard sales and flea markets. It is amazing how much gold jewelry you can pick up for almost nothing.
You need to educate yourself on how to identify real and fake gold, and all of the different markings, i.e. .417, .585, etc.
You will also need to buy a gold testing kit for acid testing, a good loup, and a scale that weighs in grams or pennyweight. You can pick these items up for well under a hundred bucks.
The upside to this is you often find really beautiful rings, necklaces, and earrings that you can wear until you need to sell. My wife loves my dealing in gold and silver.
I also sell my scrap to a smelter for 95% of the current spot price of gold, but when the pieces are nice I try to sell to investors or collectors at full spot price. If you buy from a commercial site such as Kitco.com you will pay well over the current spot price.
 I hope this has helped you.

Apr 17, 2012 10:33AM
avatar
The best way to make money is to tune out cnbc. Kiernan,Krudlow and lips bartiromo do not care about you making money as they are political hacks/shills for their crony capitalist advertisers. Listen carefully to their artifully concealed messages to show allegience to their cronies. With their knee pads on they carry the water for Madoff and his buddies. cnbc (can not buy credibility) is the worst business show on television.
Apr 17, 2012 10:09AM
avatar
How and where can I buy Gold?  I mean low amounts, I am an average US citizen.
The most reliable way (IMO) is the US Mint. You can order Gold Eagles in several sizes.
Apr 17, 2012 1:58PM
avatar
Commodity Exchanges exist SOLEY to suppress the price of that which is real & tangible with paper which is neither.
Apr 17, 2012 10:43AM
avatar
catfish lips bartiromo can't even pronounce some words her lip job is so bad..........she is a fool leading fools...........just like cramer
Apr 17, 2012 2:12PM
avatar
In America, investors must be nimble because nothing is a sure thing.  The main reason I say that is I learned a big lesson from housing market because I thought who does not need a house.  Now, even I do not need a house which is deep under water.
Apr 17, 2012 5:50PM
avatar
Yamanatic,

Yes, individual stocks can go to 0. And anyone that is foolish enough to invest it all in just one stock should not be surprised to lose it all.

The entire stock market never goes to 0, so just make sure any investment in the stock market is well diversified. Ditto for bonds. Real estate (remember that stuff?) never goes to 0 either. Neither does gold or silver or any commodity. Diversification is important.

But here's the problem with gold. When does gold create a new product? When does gold declare a dividend? When does gold post annual financial reports? Gold is static. It doesn't do anything. It doesn't create value by inventing or exploiting technology to make our economy more efficient. That is what businesses do. 

You might think that is a good reason to buy gold. It doesn't do anything, therefore it always maintains its value. Yes, it always maintains its intrinsic or inherent value, but not its monetary value. Although gold is static, the speculation that drives gold prices is wildly erratic. 

Timing the gold market is a fool's errand. And for anybody that thinks that gold simply cannot go down, a gold bubble burst big time in 1980, losing 60 percent of value in about one year.

Gold is not an investment. 
Apr 17, 2012 5:26PM
avatar
I purchased my first one hundred ounces for $258 per ounce in 1994.  Thank you very much.
Apr 17, 2012 2:37PM
avatar

You think am wrong!  Then, bet your deal.  Have about 5 acres you can plan on...plant on! 

 

Apr 17, 2012 9:42AM
avatar
At $1650 per ounce. Only the rich can afford it. So I guess they will buy stuff from each other.
Apr 17, 2012 5:12PM
avatar
So gold is really just a speculative buy, and always will be. That is just gambling. No thank you.

And the Market isn't? Sheesh...

Stocks can and do go to ZERO; Edsel & Studebaker ring a bell? How about my 401K - Wish I'd have bought AU instead or feeding some fat cat's yacht habit. Gold never has been worth zero, and a $50 Eagle will always be worth $50 - it says so right on the coin, er money.

Apr 17, 2012 9:51AM
avatar
How and where can I buy Gold?  I mean low amounts, I am an average US citizen.
Apr 17, 2012 4:09PM
avatar
Gold is not an "investment." You could argue it is savings, or a hedge against inflation. But it is subject to such rampant speculation, that it's price does not reflect its intrinsic value. So gold is really just a speculative buy, and always will be. That is just gambling. No thank you.

If the economy improves, then gold will plummet. If the economy dives, and I mean really dives, then what will happen? If the US eventually defaults on its debt, the entire world economy could sink into a deep depression. Would such a default be orderly and civilized? I doubt it.

The end game so many tout would render gold practically worthless. It is worth something now because people pay for it, mostly because it is rare. But rareness in and of itself is not valuable necessarily. Food, water, shelter, these are always valuable. Maybe lead is the metal to invest in and not gold?

To summarize, investing (speculating) in gold now is foolish. You are betting on the economy getting significantly worse without anything disastrous happening. That is gambling. Just walk away.

I remember in the late 90s when people would say stocks would never go down again. "Now things are different!" they would say. "This is the new economy!" Then the stock market collapsed. 

Then it was the housing market. "Houses will just keep going up!" was the chant. Everybody believed things were different than before, that it really could be true.

Now gold will go up forever, because this is the new economy, right?
Apr 17, 2012 9:24PM
avatar
"I purchased my first one hundred ounces for $258 per ounce in 1994.  Thank you very much."

Good job.  I purchased 10,000 shares of aapl in 1994 for $8 a share.  Still have them all.
Apr 17, 2012 10:48AM
avatar

remember that other than jewelry and some industrial applications that gold has no real worth

..........example:in tough times you can't buy my water for any amount of gold

.........even if i wanted to sell you my water how would we make change?

Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

126
126 rated 1
257
257 rated 2
459
459 rated 3
599
599 rated 4
671
671 rated 5
682
682 rated 6
603
603 rated 7
455
455 rated 8
269
269 rated 9
113
113 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
CSCOCisco Systems Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.