Stick with offensive stocks
While defensives lumbered into year's end, steel, oil and high-end retailers showed aggressive growth and look ready to keep it up.
The defensive stocks could do no right going into the end of the year, and the "offensives" -- which is what steel, cyclicals, oils and expensive retailers deserve to be called -- could do no wrong.
Can it continue in 2011?
I think so.
Take four comeback stories of the last few weeks: Williams-Sonoma(WSM), Xilinx(XLNX), Occidental(OXY) and Nucor(NUE). The last public pronouncements of all of these stocks were regarded as disappointing. I stress the word "regarded" because many of us were happy to hear that things hadn't gotten worse!
Yet what has happened? They took dips, and then they roared higher. Post continues after video:
All were great bets. Meanwhile, consider the cases of Dr. Pepper Snapple (DPS) and Pepsi(PEP). They delivered their numbers and said all of the right things. But their stocks have done nothing but drift down. Clorox(CLX) and Kimberly(KMB) have been saved by their yields but look to be stalled or headed lower. I liked General Mills' (GIS) statements. The market sure didn't. And, most of all, McDonald's(MCD) is still being punished for missing a month's numbers.
To which I say forget the dollar, the euro and China. This move is all about U.S. employment growth. This is the kind of action you get when you see jobless claims going down.
I have caught up with some of last week's reading, and people are wondering whether the job growth is real or whether it even matters. They are ignoring report after report from the Fed regions. The recovering stocks of these companies that disappointed, though, are saying otherwise. I would rather own Nucor than General Mills. I would sooner own Williams-Sonoma than Wal-Mart(WMT) or Dollar General(DG). And I definitely want to own any offensive vs. any defensive now that jobless claims are below 400,000 and, I think, will stay there.
The only exceptions to this rule would be the dividend stocks that sport 4.5% yields or better. They have more to run simply because I do not see bonds selling off heavily enough to make those stocks unpalatable. That's a pattern I am seeing with both Hudson City(HCBK) and Peoples United Financial (PBCT) in the banks. But they, too, could be signs of strengthening employment, big lumbering offensives getting ready to join their more nimble brethren.
At the time of publication, Cramer had no positions in the stocks mentioned.
Jim Cramer is co-founder and chairman of TheStreet. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO.
Follow Cramer's trades for his Charitable Trust.
Related Articles
MORE ON MSN MONEY
DATA PROVIDERS
Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
LATEST POSTS
Try as the bears might, they couldn't break US stocks. But investors still face frothy prices and considerable headwinds.
FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS
- How to sell covered calls - Fidelity Investments
- Savvy year-end tax moves to consider now - Fidelity Investments
- Seven ways to prepare for tax changes
- Five reasons an annual review is crucial - Fidelity Investments
- Take a look at mid caps now - Fidelity Investments
- State of the sector: Health care - Fidelity Investments
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
ABOUT
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.

