Some gain after the pain?

Will Wednesday's market mauling be enough to push politicians toward compromise on a debt deal?

By Jim Cramer Jul 28, 2011 9:13AM

jim cramerthe streetMaybe the president and the Democrats got their way Wednesday. Maybe they got what they wanted: a lower stock market. That's the only thing that has changed since Wednesday's debate, but it might have the desired effect among some fence-sitters.

 

I articulated that view to Sen. Kent Conrad from North Dakota, a man I have often thought of as the conscience of the Senate, one of the Gang of Six.

 

He's not for lower stock markets, believe me. He's one of the best capitalists around, from a state that embraces capitalism, and he is a member of the Gang of Six that's been trying to get a big deal done.

 

But he confirmed that red ink in the market does force the politicians to rethink intransigence and that only the most intransigent of extremes won't care about this market's decline.

 

I think he's hoping that the intransigents become at least flexible, and that could matter Thursday.

 

The reason "something" had to get wacky financially is beginning to become obvious to people on Wall Street and maybe even in Washington, D.C. Throughout this whole rancorous debate, bonds have refused to comply with the president's wishes.

 

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Think back to the Monday night speech. President Barack Obama talked about skyrocketing mortgages, student loans and credit cards if we default. So what does the benchmark Treasury do? Nothing.

 

That's not part of Obama's script.

 

Ever since the failure of that fear it seems that many Democrats -- not Conrad -- have adopted a "something's going to get wrecked because of this, but we don't know what it is" tack.

 

Turns out what they are wrecking is confidence and, in turn, growth plans, which in turn hurt earnings.

 

Thus the sell-off.

 

I wonder whether, had the president said, "If we don't get passage here, we will have a stock market crash," his rhetoric would have had more gravitas.

Doesn't matter. We had the beginnings of one Wednesday. So the pain, some pain, wherever it is, dawned on the lawmakers.

 

That's the change. Some pain.

 

Let's hope it produces some gain. At the same time, prepare for another dip, as whatever House Speaker John Boehner does or does not deliver Thursday will not be liked by President Obama.

 

5Comments
Jul 28, 2011 2:32PM
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Sick There's nothing to fear but fear itself. Just watch GE, every time the fear index goes up, GE goes down because it's one of the most owned stocks, especially by lemmings. We're paying 535 Congressional members over $100 million a year to let one crisis after another occur.  $800 billion for defense and nobody could see 911 coming? $3 trillion budget with billions spent on economic forecasting and they couldn't see the cause and effect of the housing boom.  $100 million for 535 managers and they can't avoid a debt ceiling crisis and are designing solution to repeat this in 3-6 months to win the Presidency. The US Government has a leadership and management deficit and it starts with the US Congress. Who elected these arrogant idiots? 
Jul 28, 2011 11:12AM
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hope for gain?   prepare for another dip?  how much

should i pay for this great advice?          IDIOT

Jul 28, 2011 12:33PM
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"But you said tech stocks were bulletproof!"
Jul 28, 2011 2:31PM
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Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha! You crack me up C man!
Jul 28, 2011 2:13PM
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Nice article Jim. You've got all the bases covered and Friday it'll all be Obama's fault. Do you really get paid to write this crap?

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