Wal-Mart thrives in economic storm

The pieces are all falling into place for a great year for the nation's top retailer.

By Kim Peterson Aug 6, 2012 4:44PM
What's the perfect scenario for Wal-Mart (WMT)? Try a combination of stagflation, low gas prices, a U.S. election year and consumer skittishness.

The ingredients are all there, and that's why analysts with Stifel Nicolaus have upgraded the stock to "buy." The company will succeed even in a slowdown in consumer spending, analysts said.

Post continues below.
Investors have clued into this for months now. That's why, after languishing for years, Wal-Mart shares have shot up 46% in the last year to close Monday at $74.28.

In some ways, Wal-Mart will see a repeat of 2008, a year in which Americans felt the pressure of high gas prices, food inflation and a crumbling housing market. This year isn't an exact repeat -- gas prices are low and the housing market is slowly recovering -- but there are other factors weighing heavily on consumers' minds. Some tax cuts are set to expire at the end of the year, and federal spending cuts may take place weeks later.

Wal-Mart did well in both years. Stifel analyst David Schick said his company's survey showed that more people are making weekly visits to the store. He upped his earnings estimate for the second quarter to $1.20 per share from $1.17 a share, and also hiked his full-year estimate to $5.09 a share from $4.97 a share.

He thinks the company's share price could rise to $83 in the next year.

Wal-Mart went into a spiral after 2008. It reacted to the recession badly and made some unwise moves aimed at grabbing wealthier customers that may be trading down. It cut its selection, rearranged its aisles and upped some prices. It was blindsided by the consumer shift to dollar stores for household goods. It continued focusing on super-sized bundles when shoppers couldn't afford them.

As a result, U.S. sales slumped for nine straight quarters. Management finally reversed that trend by making some key decisions, such as dumping its promotional pricing experiments and returning to its "everyday low pricing" model.

The new strategy is working. Gas prices are low, giving lower-income shoppers more cash to spend. Shoppers are very price-focused in this election year. And finally, Wal-Mart is benefiting from the management problems at JC Penney (JCP) and Sears (SHLD).

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285Comments
Aug 7, 2012 1:50AM
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Six months ago or so I thought Wal_mart was having trouble attracting customers. Now they are going gung ho. What gives? Aaaahhhhh...the liberal writers can't keep their stories straight.  Bash wal-Mart as long as you can until you have to tell the truth.
Aug 7, 2012 1:33AM
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Maybe if the government introduced incentives to companies, we would see less outsourcing. Maybe that would offset the difference in labor costs. Bottom line is, we can't compete with China. Their workers would gladly work their tails off in terrible conditions for less pay. You can't compete with that, so if you want companies to stay; you better offer lucrative incentives so we can keep some of these jobs here. But of course our government instead says, "lets tax them to death and run all the jobs out of California." And whenever I need to call At&T for wireless support I'm talking to an customer service rep from Bombay. Go figure.
Aug 7, 2012 1:25AM
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Walmart sells some shoes and other items that are made from the real leather hides of skinned alive animals in China. Yes, cats, dogs, and more. Wallets, some purses, belts, some fur trimmed items like vests, coats, gloves, boots....   Look it up on YOUTUBE:  Chinese skinning animals alive.   Walmart knows this and continues to buy the products to make a buck or two. Many of the animals have been filmed by AR activists living as long as 28 to 40 min. after a live skinning. They have giant commercial meat grinders that they then throw the life animals into.  Our Greyhound racing dogs in America and other countries are shipped over there after 2 to 4 years for slaughter. They are not used for racing. They are not all adopted out.  You can also find these videos. There is one of a live racing dog being put down a meat grinder as it looks into the lens of the camera. Walmart could use their money and enfluence in China to stop these tortures. They don't. They only want the money made from the tortured animals.  Look it up. Then tell all your friends. Stop the abuse. boycott.
Aug 7, 2012 1:19AM
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Worked quite a while for Wally, got out when certain benefits were fixing to kick in for the time I worked there, just because I saw the "change" coming. This is sure as h___ NOT Sam's store, and no I'm not from his time.  In Sam's time they poured money INTO the US economy(not china's), shared with the associates, had good benefits, and gave to charity. I see Walmart kept 6 BILLION dollars and counting that would have stimulated the economy, froze associates pay and drove countless middle class american people with families out who had knowledge to benefit the customers. In place of LOW paying/ NO benefits positions they made up; or expected the managers to "figure" a way to do the job with not NEARLY the amount of people they really needed (and yes, they knew there wasn't enough people, we just don't TALK about it and the customers WILL be trained to accept it). They kept telling associates in meetings "You don't need someone talking for you" (unions, their evil, train the associates), who's listening to you NOW?!. And make sure you tell everyone not to vote for the party that supports unions (district HR actually said that). Too big to fail or care about anyone but their profits. "Hey, it's business and the economy we helped to TRAIN to go our way, made it alright to screw EVERYONE. Until the consumer changes (find other local places to shop), we don't need to change!. 

Also they've got some bounses and some golden parachutes to pay; that's all that matters!.

Aug 7, 2012 1:18AM
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Wal-Mart is Wal-Mart! Criticize it all you want, but if Wal-Mart is the closest store within 10, 20, 30...100 miles, you really don't give a a crap. All your local family, friends and neighbors shop there. It's likely a few work there too. If you don't like it, then don't shop there. Some people just don't have the choice of one store over another.
Aug 7, 2012 1:15AM
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Wal mart does not give a crap  about  there employees.all they care about is the money.
Aug 7, 2012 12:58AM
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Low gas prices? Is the write a retard? 
Aug 7, 2012 12:53AM
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"This year isn't an exact repeat -- gas prices are low."  Is this guy living in the sam country we are?  Gas prices have nearly doubled since 2008.  It took somethng like a hundred years for gas prices to go from 5cents a gallon to $1.80 a gallon and less than 4 years for it to go from that price to nearly $4 a gallon.
Aug 7, 2012 12:40AM
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Let's see...pay minimum wage for your employees (and when inflation is figured in, minimum wage in this country is LOWER than it was 40 YEARS AGO) no benefits, you'll lose your job if you try to organize a union, merchandise made in some Third World country where their workers make $10 per month (if they're lucky), they'd have to be COMPLETE MORONS not to be making a profit!!!
Aug 7, 2012 12:36AM
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The closest Wal-Mart is 30 mles from where I reside which is nothing but a Chinese Market.  Nobody could even pay me $$ to shop there.  I shop locally and do my part to help the local businesses stay in business. 
Aug 7, 2012 12:32AM
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Hmmm , Did anybody see the picture of the rat running across the meat in a Tampa Fl. Walmart?  I'm sure they did everythng they could to keep it from being too publicized. But,A young  lady took a picture of it on her cell phone. Was on Bay news 9 a  couple of weeks ago.  Go to baynews9.com. It is a Tampa Bay area news channel.
Aug 7, 2012 12:30AM
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So, $3.85 a gallon is now low! I think, Kim Peterson, you need to get out of your cubicle a little more often - for high gas prices (and $3.85 a gallon is HIGH) will do to this supposed recovery exactly what it did in 2008. Get a clue, lady!!!

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Made in China?! Some of you people have to be kidding me. I used to work at RadioShack and we had exactly ONE product made in the USA, a 9 volt battery. Look at ANY product you buy at ANY store and 90% of the time it will be made overseas. Hate on Walmart all you want but I shop there because I have 4 kids and I like to save money whenever I can. If Mom & Pop down the road could match Walmart prices they wouldn't have gone out of business. And don't give me that B.S. about buying in bulk, I managed a LARGE C-Store and we bought in bulk but our prices were ridiculous compared to what I could get at Walmart. On a side note the only thing I WILL NOT buy at Walmart is meat. HORRIBLE quality, fatty, and overpriced. Local butcher for that.
Aug 7, 2012 12:20AM
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Gas prices are low?  Did these people just watch a rover land on Mars...in their back yard?
Aug 7, 2012 12:19AM
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I don't shop at Walmart, I come from a union family...
Aug 7, 2012 12:17AM
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Wal-Mart is the reason why there is a coming internet sales tax.  They lobbied for a internet sales tax because they felt their sales at WalMart stores were suffering because people were shopping online at Amazon.
Aug 7, 2012 12:02AM
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I was JUST at Walmart and do you want to know how they are thriving? They don't have any f'n people manning their 40 checkout lanes.  They have 3 or 4 lanes open and there are lines around the corner.  Their "customer service" department has ONE person and i literally stood in line waiting to return an old battery for 30 mins just to be told that they cant give me the 9 bucks because the cashier didn't give me the right receipt for the new battery i just bought...at this point i just wanted to get out of there asap.

Their carts are sticky, the wheels on EVERY cart are busted up and you make a racket when you're going through the store.  I have to consciously remember NOT to touch my face because there are no wipes to clean the handle of the carts when you get one, otherwise i'm sure i'd get sick the next day.  I was there once and saw what appeared to be smeared sh!t in one of the isles and i would have continued to think it was if it wasn't for the lack of smell.  Some lady almost stepped right in it because she was too busy texting on her "dumbphone" before i warned her.  There was also a busted open tube of crescent rolls or something that looked as if it had been kicked around on the floor all day without anyone bothering to pick it up and put it in the trash can that was 10 feet away till i came along and did it.

They could hire more cashiers but that's not good for their penny pinching bottom line.  The people that work there look depressed and overworked, and most of the people that shop there push the limits of what is defined as being a human both in intelligence and appearance.

Walmart is a dump plain and simple and i dread having to go there for anything.

Aug 6, 2012 11:57PM
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Low gas prices? Gas has doubled in the last 4 years of Obama's failure as president,
Aug 6, 2012 11:46PM
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I've shopped & worked at WalMart for years.....I've seen their prices increase & the quality of their produts decrease, especially the clothes & shoes...They sell inferior quality clothes....Ross's & Bealls sell better quality clothes at the same prices...WalMart doesn't care about the customer, it's all a numbers game $$....We sold wooden letters of the alphabet, A thru Z in the craft department....They discontinued the Q & the Z because they didn't sell enough of them...duuuhh...there are 26 letters in the alphabet, not 24....If your selling the alphabet you sell them all....They're idiots...Half the managers I worked for were idiots & they treated us like we were idiots....Glad I don't work there any more.
Aug 6, 2012 11:37PM
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Low gas prices?  The author of this article must not live in the U.S.....
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