Goldcorp: The top buy in gold
Production costs of just $258 an ounce leave fat profit margins for this gold miner.
By Nathan Slaughter, Street Authority Market AdvisorThere are many reasons why gold-loving investors might want to choose Goldcorp (GG) over bullion, not the least of which is the sharp disconnect between gold prices and gold stocks.
Indeed, gold has advanced more than 20% over the past year, while shares of many of the companies that produce and sell it have actually lost ground. And while Goldcorp has outperformed its peer group and delivered a modest 2% gain, that still doesn't sync with what's happening on the bottom line.
Goldcorp sold 571,000 ounces of gold last quarter at a hefty price of $1,719 per ounce. That's a nice 39% increase from the $1,239 an ounce it received this time last year.
Even better, production costs haven't budged and remain at just $258 an ounce (for a fat profit margin of $1,461 for every ounce sold).
As a result, the company was able to leverage the 39% increase in gold prices into an 88% surge in earnings.
Yet while Goldcorp's underlying profits have risen twice as much as gold, its shares haven't kept pace. In fact, they're actually lower now than they were three months ago.
That's fine -- these imbalances tend to correct themselves sooner or later. In the meantime, even if gold prices don't gain another penny, Goldcorp will still churn out $700 million or so in cash flows every quarter.
And that brings us to the second reason I prefer GG over physical gold. To paraphrase Warren Buffett, gold bars don't do much while they're sitting in the vault except stare back at you.
But Goldcorp actually pays you to hold it, in the form of regular monthly dividends. And on Dec. 5, the company announced plans for a sizeable 32% dividend hike. This increase (the third in the past 13 months) brings the annual payout to $0.54 per share, for a yield of around 1%.
That may not sound like much, but it sure beats having to pay for storage and insurance costs.
Goldcorp is positioned for industry-leading growth over the next few years. Thanks to a combination of expansion and new mine development, management is forecasting annual gold production to soar 60% and reach four million ounces by 2015.
Even if gold prices level off, that increased volume will keep cash flow and dividends moving forward.
For now, the firm's massive reserve base equates to 7.8 ounces of gold for every 100 shares held. At current prices, a $5,000 investment could get you the equivalent of almost $13,000 worth of gold reserves.
With the thinnest costs and the strongest growth outlook, Goldcorp is my top buy recommendation for gold investors.
Related articles:
- Gold: 'Still your friend'
- Gabelli Global Gold: Income from resources
- Molycorp: Rare opportunity in rare earth?
MORE ON MSN MONEY
DATA PROVIDERS
Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.
Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.
Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.
Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.
LATEST POSTS
The market's cheap money addiction is laid bare. No one knows how it will end.
FIDELITY VIEWPOINTS
- How to sell covered calls - Fidelity Investments
- Savvy year-end tax moves to consider now - Fidelity Investments
- Seven ways to prepare for tax changes
- Five reasons an annual review is crucial - Fidelity Investments
- Take a look at mid caps now - Fidelity Investments
- State of the sector: Health care - Fidelity Investments
VIDEO ON MSN MONEY
ABOUT
Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.
Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.
Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.

