The biggest loser in Facebook's disgrace

It was up to the bankers and the execs to figure out a stock price where everyone won. In the end, the little guy got the shaft.

By Jim Cramer Jun 5, 2012 9:38AM

Facebook (FB) is moving in on that key 13-and-under demo! Business must be really rocking there to reach down to that cohort, right?

 

I don't know about yours, but I have to tell you that the sour taste of the Facebook deal hasn't left my mouth yet.

 

If you go back just a couple of weeks, we were at a crucial moment in time. Individual investors have been crushed for so long now that it was almost impossible to think about what could bring them back to stocks.


The lies, the disasters, the promises broken, the unreliability of the system, the inability to prosecute the so-called bad guys who almost brought down the house all made it so retail investors would be as nuts to stay in the stock market as a depositor would be to stay with a Spanish bank. It was just not rational for many to take a beating like this, particularly because the ETF craze and indexing, considered to be the only real ways to make money (false, but what can I say) had done so poorly for people.

 

But the whole industry of financial services and its regulators really hasn't shown an ounce of remorse whatsoever. The industry caters to the big bill payers, not the small ones, even as the small ones together constitute the backbone of the markets and are needed to keep them deep and liquid.

 

The industry itself has very little self-examination. You almost never hear anyone say "We have to worry about regular investors," because regular investors as individuals don't pay the bills even though in an aggregate they can be huge for the market's depth and its lifeblood, volume.

 

Indeed, most of the trading, and almost all of the attempted trading, comes from machine to machine, where very little is made or from giant mutual funds that are catered to for their every whim. But the buyer of 100 shares of this or 50 shares of that is a waste of time and too expensive to help. Financial services have become like any other business. Many firms believe you can't make money servicing smaller clients with humans, just as banks want smaller clients to use ATMs and not tellers. It's just a fact of life to these big giant financial outfits.

 

And then along comes Facebook. Here's a big visible offering where, if there were any rationality or tradition of fairness on Wall Street, everyone should have been allowed to win. Think about it. The insiders have a very low basis. They win even if the deal is priced at $20. The individuals who know it would love to get in there and feel like it is worth buying stocks again. It was up to the bankers and the execs at Facebook to figure out a price where everyone won, because believe me, it doesn't do any good for the deal to flop the way it did anyway.

 

And what do the bankers do? They succumb to greed, and they favor the company over the clients, and then at the last minute they favor the big clients over the smaller buyers by telling the bigger clients that, as the documents say, things aren't as good as we thought at Facebook. Believe me, although you aren't supposed to differ from anything written about how the business is, you can certainly tell prospective buyers how the deal is shaping up. And from everything I am hearing, the word was, at the last minute, that it wasn't shaping up well at all. But too much ink had been spilled and too much pride had been shone to start walking the deal back.

 

The result was the disgrace of a stock lifetime, then compounded by Morgan Stanley's basically saying shame on the buyers if they thought they could make a quick buck.

 

Shame on Morgan Stanley (MS) for saying that. Everybody in this business knows the game: Everyone is supposed to win on a deal, especially a popular deal where there can be winners, and Facebook was the apotheosis of this kind of deal.

 

Forget how horrid the Nasdaq ($COMPX) was, too. It had gone too far to pull back at the last minute when it knew it had no control of the opening whatsoever and its systems were way too backward to handle the influx, as amazing as that is, given how it paraded around like a peacock, telling us how well it would go.

 

The essence of what really went wrong was that Morgan Stanley favored the sellers more than it should have. Why that was, we don't know. Was it because at the last minute things had gotten so bad at Facebook that it just had to put on a big show and tell only some traders how bad things really were but rely on moronic over-the-transom retail to keep the deal in the high $30s? Was it because the Facebook execs demanded this pricing? Was it because the syndicate desk actually thought it had demand at these prices even as many retail execs indicated that they were overwhelmed at the last minute with stock? I find it hard to believe that syndicate didn't know how bad the deal would fare, given that some branches were given allocations well in excess of what demand was, a sure sign that syndicate knew things had gotten out of hand.

 

Remember how the process works. In a putative hot deal, you should get only a fraction of what you put in for. If you put in for 10,000 shares, you are hopeful to get 1,000. If you get 2,500, that's a huge win. But if you get 5,000, you begin to get nervous because it means there may not be as much demand as you thought. If you put in for 10,000 and get 10,000, you know you're sunk. But in this deal I know brokers who got well in excess of their 10,000, to the tune of a factor of twice or even three times what was requested, with the idea that somehow they could give clients a real break by getting in.

 

Allocations like that show pure greed, typically on the part of the issuer, because Morgan Stanley makes the same amount of money either way. But it also could be because Morgan Stanley totally botched the deal, as it knew that the fundamentals had gotten much worse than thought and it winked and nodded to its biggest clients in a legal but horribly unfair way.

 

Either way, whether greed on the part of the issuer or failure to gauge real demand on top of faltering fundamentals by Morgan Stanley, the individual investor was the huge loser.

 

And he has stayed the biggest loser. Maybe the 13-year-old-and-under crowd will help ameliorate the downturn in the fundamentals that the deal is certainly signaling. But it is a little too late to help the individual who was the mainstay of our deep markets. Just a shameful exercise all the way around, including the admonishing of the buyers who believed that the bankers had it right when they most certainly had it wrong.

 

 

 

 Jim Cramer is a co-founder of TheStreet and contributes daily market commentary to the financial news network's sites. Follow his trades for Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust and has no positions in the stocks mentioned.

 

 

 

More from TheStreet.com

90Comments
Jun 5, 2012 10:16AM
avatar

How long until this is a penny stock?  LOL  

 

Actually, I think it's probably worth a PE of 10 to 15... but when Zuckerberg starts buying back at $5 a share, then many might see the light of this sham!

Jun 5, 2012 10:15AM
avatar

Good article. It all smacks of Facebook’s core philosophy towards it customers too. No wonder Wall Street loves them so much. This latest controversy over letting the 13 and under crowd sign up for Facebook is just another example of it. It’s being pitched by Facebook as a genuine concern of theirs, like they want to do the right thing. All they are really trying to do is evaluate if they can get away with it without pissing people off too much. Why? Because they want to that’s why. They want to capture the minds of their users at the earliest possible age, when it’s easiest to manipulate them. In the end, that’s all that really matters to Facebook; to channel as many people as possible into their virtual world under their control by any means necessary. What next; are they going to lobby all the hospitals to allow them to flash their logo ten times in the face of every newborn the first time they open their eyes. There will be plenty of time for the baby’s to see their mother later; you know, on Facebook.

Jun 5, 2012 10:08AM
avatar

I don't have a Dog in this fight, but that said most people that I know say "They will Never put their money in the stockmarket. Maybe IF more small investors do that, something will change on Wallstreet. Talking about change...where is Obama and his "Watchdogs" over wallstreet ?

Jun 5, 2012 10:08AM
avatar

Issues like this and crooks like Morgan Stanley are why the Retail investor will continue to stay away from the market.

I still want to know why YOU and the rest of the talking heads at CNBC were so excited about the FB IPO and touting it as the start of the next tech rally.

You just seem to change sides on things a little too much to be believable about anything Jim.

 

 

 

Jun 5, 2012 10:06AM
avatar

I still don't understand the amount of self-delusion it took to buy into the Zuckerberg fantasy.  FB has only one resource, the data it has encouraged its users to divulge.  Given the inaccuracy of that data and the mountain of outright lies told on FB, advertisers are increasingly silly to deal with FB.  Especially after repeated surveys show that only a paltry number of users even click on the ads, some only in error. 

 

Now the big Z is going after pre-teens?  Probably without any more privacy than he gives adults.  Sounds like desperation to me.

Jun 5, 2012 10:03AM
avatar
The true and only solution for America to get back on track is too forget about globalization and focus on just ourselves. There was a time when I first hit the workforce that Americans made things in America for ourselves. We found out that if it was good enough for us, then it was good enough for the rest of the world. We listened to our company leaders lie, and tell us that if they made it overseas, it would be cheaper for us too buy.
Now with about 1/3 of the country unemployed or severely underemployed, no one really has the capacity to spend. (Remember, my spent money pays your wages and your spent money pays mine.) With everyone paying off their debts at the same time, no one is actually spending money. Austerity just propagates a longer and deeper recession.
Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

127
127 rated 1
269
269 rated 2
462
462 rated 3
588
588 rated 4
658
658 rated 5
615
615 rated 6
645
645 rated 7
431
431 rated 8
263
263 rated 9
138
138 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
COPConocoPhillips10
NWSNews Ord Shs Class B10
YHOOYahoo! Inc10
TJXTJX Companies Inc9
AMXAmerica Movil ADR Rep 20 Ord Shs Series L9
More

LATEST POSTS

Scary story: the 2013 market looks like 1987

All hail the bull market, which ended the week with a big rally. But it also is starting to look a little like 1987, which suffered an epic blow-out.

Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.