Costco beats Wall Street forecasts

The US economy is rebounding one pallet of toilet paper at a time.

By Jonathan Berr May 24, 2012 12:16PM
Image: Grocery shopping (© Corbis)Costco Wholesale (COST), the largest warehouse retailer, reported better-than-expected quarterly results Thursday. This suggests that while U.S. consumers may be stressed by economic uncertainty, they are still willing to buy chocolate cakes big enough to feed a battalion of soldiers.

Net income for the third quarter rose to $386 million, or 88 cents a share, compared to $324 million, or 73 cents, last year. The results topped the 87-cent average forecast of Wall Street analysts. Revenue rose 8% to $21.85 billion.

Shares of Costco, which have barely budged this year, traded up in pre-market action. Costco has more room to run, particularly if the economic rebound doesn't falter too badly. Like Wal-Mart (WMT), shoppers come to Costco looking for deals. As Bloomberg News noted, "Chief Executive Officer Craig Jelinek has been luring customers with low prices on everything from baked goods to gasoline." The difference being that Costco shoppers tend to be wealthier than their counterparts at Wal-Mart.

Whether the momentum will last remains to be seen. Costco recently reported disappointing same-store sales in April. Analysts have a 52-week price target of $86.83 on the stock, about 4% higher than where it currently trades. I, too, am optimistic about the company. 

For one thing, consumer confidence improved last week for the first time in a month. Then there's Costco's value proposition. Though it does not make sense for a single person to buy perishable goods such as milk in bulk, there are bargains to be had for everyone. Costco's prices on food can be orders of magnitudes better than traditional grocery chains.

Costco also offers a huge variety of services, ranging from installing kitchen cabinets to filling prescriptions. Consumers feeling strapped for cash and those looking to make big purchases both have reasons to shop at Costco. People looking to buy enough toilet paper to last them through the Apocalypse also like shopping at the warehouse chain. Costco offers products under its own Kirkland brand that are reasonably priced and of good quality.

The strategy seems to be working. Same-store sales excluding gas prices and currency fluctuations rose 5% for the 12 weeks ending May 6. Gross margin was 10.55% -- the first gain in five quarters. Membership fees rose to $475 million, helped by an increase in rates. Comparable sales rose 4% in the U.S. and jumped 8% internationally. Costco plans to open six new warehouses before the end of fiscal 2012. If business continues to improve, that figure may be too low.

Jonathan Berr is long Wal-Mart. Follow him on Twitter@jdberr.

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

125
125 rated 1
272
272 rated 2
424
424 rated 3
589
589 rated 4
696
696 rated 5
590
590 rated 6
666
666 rated 7
435
435 rated 8
260
260 rated 9
143
143 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
AMTDTD Ameritrade Holding Corp10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.