OpenTable trades higher on Morgan Stanley stake

Shares of the restaurant-reservations site rose Friday, but is it enough to reinvigorate the stock?

By Benzinga Nov 4, 2011 6:15PM

By Louis Bedigian, Benzinga Staff Writer


OpenTable (OPEN) closed up slightly Friday to $41.88 on news that Morgan Stanley had taken a 5.9% passive stake in the company.


This is good news for the restaurant-reservations site, which has been struggling (and failing) to maintain its share price over the past few months. 


After achieving an all-time high of $115.62 on Apr. 25 of this year, OpenTable began to drop faster and more sharply than a Disney World (DIS) roller coaster. Unfortunately, the ride never seemed to stop. 


Post continues below.

By June 20, OpenTable had lost more than 30% of its value, trading at $73.99. While shares began to pick up shortly after that (rising all the way to $89.56 in July), the stock would later continue its descent, dropping below $58 in August, then below $44 by September. On Wednesday, the stock had dropped to $38.27.


Friday's pickup provides a much-needed boost for the company, which made its public debut in May 2009. Rising well above its offering price of $20, OpenTable held steady during its initial four months of trading. From then on, the company began to ascend. With every decline, the company only seemed to come back even stronger.


That strength seems to have dwindled now, causing many analysts to downgrade or reduce price targets on OpenTable. Oppenheimer was particularly cautious, reducing its target to $54 from $93.


Oppenheimer analysts attributed the reduction to slowing diner growth, the economy, maturing U.S. restaurant additions and per-diner revenue volatility.

"However, we believe OPEN still has plenty of growth ahead," the analysts added, "as we continue to view its business as a natural monopoly, where the network effect should drive very high market share, as compared to 42% and 7%, U.S. and international share today, respectively.”


Bank of America downgraded the stock to neutral from buy:

We believe the stock will be range bound (an already large short interest may limit downside) as the Street digests 3Q results including: 1) lower seated diner growth trends; 2) the cancelation of Spotlight; 3) limited near term benefits from TopTable integration; 4) commentary on softer industry trends in October vs. September, but little clarity on what they could mean for OpenTable's growth.


Benchmark lowered its price target from $60 to $50, leaving Citi as one of the view financial services firms to maintain its previous position. City said in a report that the stock was a core holding:

Our Long Thesis remains largely unchanged, and we believe OPEN's growth & profitability outlook are very solid – due to its high visibility revenue model (subscription/utility), still early stage secular penetration (only 11% of U.S. seated diners), and very high operating leverage (50%+ incremental margins).


However, as of Nov. 1, Citi reduced its price target to $67 from $82.


More from Benzinga:

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

141
141 rated 1
295
295 rated 2
452
452 rated 3
619
619 rated 4
639
639 rated 5
639
639 rated 6
678
678 rated 7
484
484 rated 8
311
311 rated 9
131
131 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
BRCDBrocade Communications Systems9
DNRDenbury Resources Inc9
GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company9
NRGNRG Energy Inc9
STEIStewart Enterprises9
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.