Top picks 2012: athenahealth

Medical records company has strong vital signs.

By TheStockAdvisors Jan 4, 2012 3:17PM
Image: Dentist working on a computer © Andersen Ross/Brand X Pictures/Getty ImagesThis post is one in a series in which over 50 newsletter advisors share their Top Picks for 2012.

By Andy Obermueller, Game-Changing Stocks

The courts will decide the fate of ObamaCare, but the real winners in the health-care sector are actually the result of the stimulus bill, which provided funding for digital medical records.

Obama allocated tens of billions of federal dollars toward upgrading the nation's medical records infrastructure, taking it out of the 18th-century filing room and into the 21st-century cloud.

Using the Medicare program (which buys most of the health care in this country), the administration is requiring  that every hospital, clinic, pharmacy and diagnostic center to switch to digital records.

Proponents of the measure, who can be found on both sides of the aisle, say the cost savings -- stemming from fewer duplicated medical tests, reduced errors, increased professional work flow and other efficiency gains -- could reach into the billions of dollars per year.

The plan also would help improve both patient care and the patient experience. Once implemented, people will wait less for better care. Well, whatever.

Whether these gains materialize ultimately will be a matter for Congress to deal with. In the meantime, from now until the 2015 deadline, there's basically a land rush going on, and the handful of companies that can build digital medical records software are cashing in huge.

The estimated spend on these new systems is $100,000 per licensed hospital bed. With 944,277 hospital beds in this country, that's a $95 billion chunk of business to get the ball rolling -- federal dollars will cover about half -- and then a whole new industry will emerge to support and maintain the new system.

One player in the industry that I see continuing at the top of the leader board throughout the next year is athenahealth (ATHN), which focuses on small and mid-sized hospitals and clinics. 

Because of the surge in business, it's seen its top-line grow quarter by quarter and year by year -- 20% in the past four quarters alone and more than 150% in the past four years -- and shareholder equity has followed suit.

The company has no long-term debt, it's sitting on more than $110 million in cash or near-cash on top of $50 million worth of receivables. The shares have been on a tear this year, rising more than +40% since I first recommended them. ATHN continues to post stronger and stronger earnings, and despite a heady price-to-earnings ratio, one need not look too far to find a $75 price target. 

I think that's conservative, and so do a number of institutions, who have snapped up most of this company's shares. They're worth adding to your portfolio for 2012 if you can get your hands on a few.

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a free daily review of the favorite stock ideas of the nation's top financial newsletter advisors.

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

127
127 rated 1
269
269 rated 2
463
463 rated 3
587
587 rated 4
658
658 rated 5
616
616 rated 6
645
645 rated 7
430
430 rated 8
262
262 rated 9
137
137 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
COPConocoPhillips10
NWSNews Ord Shs Class B10
YHOOYahoo! Inc10
TJXTJX Companies Inc9
AMXAmerica Movil ADR Rep 20 Ord Shs Series L9
More

LATEST POSTS

Scary story: the 2013 market looks like 1987

All hail the bull market, which ended the week with a big rally. But it also is starting to look a little like 1987, which suffered an epic blow-out.

Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.