Wall Street wary after Obama victory

Stock futures drop after the president wins a second term. The next big question: Can Congress avoid the fiscal cliff?

By Charley Blaine Nov 6, 2012 8:20PM
People putting political symbols in box -- Comstock Images/Getty ImagesUpdated: 5:10 a.m. ET Wednesday

When it became clear late Tuesday that President Barack Obama had won the the 2012 election over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Democrats were ecstatic. Republicans were depressed.

The stock market looked like it would follow the Republicans' lead and open lower.

Futures trading at 5:10 a.m ET Wednesday suggested the Dow Jones industrials ($INDU) will open down more than 100 points.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) is looking at an 11-point loss at the open, and the Nasdaq-100 Index ($NDX) is looking at a 22-point hit.

European stock futures trading suggested a higher open as well, and Asian stocks were mostly higher, especially in Hong Kong and India.

What tipped the election in Obama's favor was winning the key battleground states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Florida may yet move to the Obama column. Ohio gave him more than the 270 electoral votes needed to win. 

While stocks look to open lower, gold (-GC) was moving higher, a suggestion that Wall Street will continue to be wary of the president. Light sweet crude oil (-CL) was lower.

Wall Street's big bet on Romney comes up short
Wall Street invested millions in Romney's candidacy in large part because Obama has antagonized the financial community with calls to raise taxes on the wealthy as part of any deficit reduction  package.

An Obama win probably means a bitter battle into next year over the fiscal cliff -- a witch's brew of tax increases and government spending cuts that are set to take effect Jan. 1 unless Congress acts. Many economists believe a stalemate could plunge the nation back into recession.

In addition to the Obama victory, Democrats will maintain control of the U.S. Senate. That means the agenda of the conservative House of Representatives has a much harder path to realize its policy hopes of big tax and spending cuts.

A sign of an economy on the mend?
While the fiscal cliff is gong to be front and center, there is some recent good news for those who worry the economy is falling apart.

The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday night that Americans are setting up house at the fastest rate in more than six years. That's an indication that recession anxiety, which prompted adult children to move in with their parents and single people to postpone marriage, is starting to ease.

The nation added 1.15 million households in the 12 months that ended in September, according to the most recent Census Bureau data. That's a significant rise from the past four years when an average of 650,000 households were formed annually.

Rising household formation means more students are finding jobs after college, more adult children are leaving their parents' homes and more couples feel confident enough about the future to marry. It could also mean that immigration is picking up.

That's the good news that Obama phases as he prepares for a second term. So is a housing recovery and an automotive rebound.

What's not good is a 7.9% unemployment rate and the coming battle over taxes and spending and the fiscal cliff.

The markets had a good day
Before the returns started to come in, stocks had a very good day. The Dow was up 133 points to 13,246. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index ($INX) gained 11 points to 1,428, and the Nasdaq Composite Index ($COMPX) added 12 points to 3,012.

The rally was fueled by gains in energy, industrial and financial stocks. Crude oil moved higher because of fears that another big storm about to hit the East Coast would disrupt efforts to get gasoline out to service stations and take out power lines again.
68Comments
Nov 7, 2012 1:29AM
avatar

Things to do on November 7th:

 

1 - Stop paying mortgage

2 - Call Vladimir to explain "flexibility" of which Obama whispered is achieved

3 - Buy ammo

4 - Stock up on food and water

5 - Pray....should've been first on list

6 - Determine how much gold I can purchase

7 - Begin removing personal information from grid

8 - Pray

9 - Explain to boss that I don't have to leave house to get entitlement check

10 - Quit job

Nov 7, 2012 12:54AM
avatar
Setting up house - are you kidding our home has tanked over the last 4 years it's now under water by 50% - there is only one choice left - walk - there will be no relief for those of us who put 30% down and qualifed with our real wages validated with our w-2's and tax returns. Tonight just firmed it up, to move on as none of the politicos on either side will help. Had enough... Maybe Bruce Springstein can hold a concert in front of this house when its empty.
Nov 7, 2012 2:21AM
avatar

The only new America is that the have not's / will not's will have to come up with a better plan.  As long as there are less people working than collecting, there will never be enough.  This have / will is heading to the Caymen Island's.  Good luck to Obama and the new

America.  Should be interesting to see how you make out when those of us who work decide to leave.

Nov 7, 2012 7:39AM
avatar
Obama wins a second term as our President of these United States.  The question that I have is will Obama continue to divide us now that he has conquered many of us??  Will he now have free reign to push his socialism ??  The next four years could be worse than his first four IMHO
Nov 7, 2012 10:42AM
avatar
This economy will now roll over and take two steps closer to the completion of the New World Order.  Remember the $3.50 an hour goal?  With price inflation and  wage deflation we need the result to be no difference in lifestyle for Americans as per Korea, China, And Mexico.  The Angry American has voted with his emotion and now the Job Makers will retire, flee, or just sit on their hands. You not only get what you pay for but now what you voted for.  The days of milk and honey are now officially dead and gone.  I won't be hurt as bad as most but the future of the young people in this country is now a gigantic step down and back.  Have a nice day.  JMHO
avatar
Apparently, there are enough people in this country that believe America has not suffered enough these past 4 years. Accordingly, America's economic nightmare continues.Personally, I now know how it must have felt in Venezuela to have Chavez re-elected.
Nov 7, 2012 8:24AM
avatar

"Good luck to Obama and the new America. Should be interesting to see how you make out when those of us who work decide to leave."

 

What's less paper and button pressers in a world sorely in need of self-sufficiency? To those of US who were unfairly terminated in 2007-08 and have endured, realize that the lack of substance in business is because of our absence from the equation. Lord, let thy sheople go (to Hell) and restore the careers of those who made a difference. We are better and stronger for the dumpster experience (we'll talk about that- later) but the whole world needs our abilities now. You know where you can stuff that degree... an education in REAL LIFE is straight ahead. May you learn the uselessness of texting before you run out of food.

Nov 7, 2012 10:15AM
avatar
obama, the anti-chist. the end is coming
Nov 7, 2012 10:40AM
avatar
The person I felt best for the job of POTUS lost miserably - heck, they didn't even mention him or that he received over 1,000,000 votes. Regardless, the hate and divisiveness the winner been accused of has proven to come mainly from his antagonists. Time to move ahead folks; try making a little lemonade topped with optimism and tolerance. This country needs needs to work together and move forward; America is better than the hateful mob mentality so many now embrace =(.
Nov 7, 2012 11:23AM
avatar
At this juncture, I think the best idea is just to go over the fiscal cliff and get it over with.  At least if the Bush Tax Cuts expire the "99%" might start to pay something; and the savers might be able to live on their bond income.
Nov 8, 2012 2:34PM
avatar

Congress cant find the Toilet ! So you think they can avoid the fiscal CLIFF ? Good luck !

Nov 8, 2012 2:17PM
avatar

They SCREW US WE SCREW THEM !   A trillion dollars of the American citizens to bail out the (TBTF) Banking Cartel !  STOP PAYING YOUR CREDIT CARDS AND MORTGAGES !  They put 50 million Americans in PRISON !

Nov 7, 2012 9:53AM
avatar
Wall Street was going to drop no matter what the outcome was. They are set in manipulaation mode to drive down stock prices whether the news is good or bad and investoers can do nothing to stop it!! Gains will be lost befor the end of the year! Plain and simple
Nov 7, 2012 12:19AM
avatar
The democrats are like Nazi'   People need to treat them like a Jew would a Nazi.   I know I will.
Nov 7, 2012 1:12AM
avatar
MirageGuy:  Instead of making ridicules statements, why don't you tell all of us just how YOU would resolve the problems facing the United States?  I want your plan for taxes, education, national security, energy independence for starters.
Nov 7, 2012 10:07AM
avatar
Thank you Mitch McConnell, John Boehner and Karl Rove for exposing your true agenda. You're all on the wrong side of history. Stop over compensating and go talk to Bob Dole.
Nov 7, 2012 10:32AM
avatar

Well the real reason the republicans lost the elections, when elected they declare war on the unions the real working class now I guess  they can all pick up their business and move them overseas Oh I forgot they already moved them overseas!

Nov 7, 2012 2:54AM
avatar

The header should have read: Now We Can Get RID of Wall Street!

 

I stopped investing in the false markets shortly after 2008 when it was obvious that they were false and phony. REAL Americans don't invest in cardboard cut-out businesses that mass-terminated our careers and gave phony hired-in executives huge compensation packages. I invested in Main Street, not Wall Street and my returns have been REAL and substantial. I am positioned to make progress WITH the country, not to be a pariah that takes food from babies and buys a 12th house or a foreign-made sports car or shares of stock in businesses that undermine us. We have now seen how low America can go when big money and GOP manipulation become too powerful. It's time to Close the Banks, End the Federal Reserve, RECONCILE BOTH and only consider re-opening the banks if they can be made to follow rules, be solvent businesses, not institutional bail-out recipients. We can never have banks that employ pariah who drive us to ruin for profit.

 

Wall Street-- feel free to collapse now.

Nov 7, 2012 9:49AM
avatar

Well, the drama queens are out. The same ones that were just rejected by a clear majority of the country that is sick and tired of your fear, smear, conspiracy theories, and hate speech. The right is still in control of the house but has no choice but to compromise and work with the left if they like their jobs or they WILL lose control in 2 years.

As far as the title above, I call bs, the futures would be down any day after closing up 130+ points.

The whiners need to shut off fox scews, rush, and the rest of the right wing hate media, get off your rear ends and improve your lives. Start with taking a little responsibility for you position in life.

Congratulations Obama for a well deserved second term.

Nov 7, 2012 10:34AM
avatar
Nothing will change until the four horsemen, Boehner, Cantor, McConnell and Kyl get "bitch slapped'  and thrown out of politics by the people. Let the BS begin again. First thing out of the Krauts mouth was "we will obstruct any attempted progress by the Dems".......You're going to need a lot more than blubbering, sniveling, bought and paid for, conniving, tantrums this time Mr. Bigot.........KMA Boehner. Your turn is coming - May America have mercy on your sole!
Report
Please help us to maintain a healthy and vibrant community by reporting any illegal or inappropriate behavior. If you believe a message violates theCode of Conductplease use this form to notify the moderators. They will investigate your report and take appropriate action. If necessary, they report all illegal activity to the proper authorities.
Categories
100 character limit
Are you sure you want to delete this comment?

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2014 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

112
112 rated 1
288
288 rated 2
479
479 rated 3
645
645 rated 4
644
644 rated 5
653
653 rated 6
638
638 rated 7
483
483 rated 8
288
288 rated 9
123
123 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
AAPLAPPLE Inc10
ATVIACTIVISION BLIZZARD Inc10
CTSHCOGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS10
FOXATWENTY-FIRST CENTURY FOX Inc CLASS A10
ITUBITAU UNIBANCO BANCO MULTIPLO S.A.10
More

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.