Is Apple a value play?

Exciting new products and rapid growth suggest a target of $655 within 3 years.

By TheStockAdvisors Dec 9, 2011 10:40AM
Image Source/PhotolibraryBy J. Royden Ward, Cabot Benjamin Graham Value Letter

Apple (AAPL) has a unique ability to identify what customers want, produce easy-to-use products, and launch unique marketing campaigns to create demand.

The company’s revolutionary iPod digital music player, iTune online music store, and iPhone helped sales to increase 33% per year during the past five years, while earnings per share surged 70% per year during the same period.

Sales soared 66% and EPS catapulted 83% during the past 12 months, aided by the success of Apple’s iPad tablet computer.

In addition to gaining market share in the computer, smart phone and tablet sectors, new product launches, such as the iPhone 4S, will keep Apple ahead of the competition.

The death of Steve Jobs, co-founder of Apple, is upsetting; Mr. Jobs will be missed. But the company’s strong management team and innovative spirit will continue to thrive.

Apple’s sales and earnings slowed a tad during the quarter ended 9/30/11, because smart phone buyers held off new purchases until the new iPhone 4S was launched on October 14.

Consumers gobbled up four million new iPhone 4S smart phones during the first weekend, a record for any phone!

The highly successful launch will lead to record sales and profits in the current quarter ending 12/31/11 and could send AAPL’s stock price to a new high ($426.70) within the next two months.

We expect Apple’s earnings to grow at a rapid 22% pace during the next five years. At 11.6 times our one-year forward EPS estimate of $33.00, AAPL shares are clearly undervalued.

The development of exciting new products portends continued rapid growth in future years.

AAPL shares will likely advance to our Minimum Sell Price of $655.71 within the next two to three years. We consider AAPL to be a very low risk investment.

Related articles:

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

126
126 rated 1
257
257 rated 2
459
459 rated 3
599
599 rated 4
671
671 rated 5
682
682 rated 6
603
603 rated 7
455
455 rated 8
269
269 rated 9
113
113 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
CSCOCisco Systems Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.