Why 2012 is different
Investors are optimistic so far this year despite broad concerns about the economy and fourth-quarter earnings results.
fund did own shares in F5 Networks as of the end of September. For a full list of the stocks in the fund as of the end of the most recent quarter, see the fund's portfolio here.
These so called "professionals" (incl Jubak) change their opinions as often as I change my shorts. (Which is every day.) Why is it, when the wind blows from a different direction, they change their tunes? I used to read Jubak's columns quite readily but I am very disappointed with him now....
to Nevada Gold
I disagree, no, the average person is not educated enough to make money in this environment, If he was then we would not be in this mess. Millions of average joes went and bought houses they knew they couldn't afford, didn't brother to read the paper work evolved, and are now crying poor me . Yes, I know that blatantly greedy loan personnel took advantage of this situation and destroyed the banks and caused a huge domino effect that damn near wreaked the economy and because the ptb government bailed the banks and made more than a few people who should be in jail are now very, very rich. Stupid move in more than one way! But we, the people, elected those fools in Washington and have left them there to take advantage of their position and become part of the 1%.
The American businesses who have survived the domino take down are still there, more than a few in deep dodo, but still there ready and willing to power up, hire on and produce their products for the world . This is the strength of America. Yes, the government has thrown money away like there was no tomorrow, our money, our taxes. We, as a country , are in a dept that is stupid, really mind boggling. As my father told me," just because you can say a number doesn't mean you know what it is". But just money isn't this country's power. Our real power is in our people , minds who can think outside the box, who look beyond 'no, it can't be done", and "we always done it this way" Our huge resource is the American worker who lost his job but is still looking, going back to school and retraining, who hasn't quit even with reduced hour and pay cuts. We need to put them back to work. at profitable companies, who will in turn will pay them so they will go out and buy the products other companies make.
And now let's see how this is going to happen. We, you and me and all the other people who invest their hard earned dollars search and research the companies that we think are solid, responsible, businesses that produce the basic products that people can still buy with their few dollars and invest in them. These companies grow, they then buy raw materials and products other companies produce, ad infininidum. The domino effect in reverse!
Admittedly, this is not going to happen overnight, it is not going to happen in a year or two, but it can happen. I'm not even going to crawl out on a limb and say it will happen, but I and I hope others like me will try and make it happen. I will continue to search and research for companies I think are solid investments, who show they can and and will prosper and in turn push other companies along the path to recovery. I will invest the little monies I have and believe that I have made correct choices.
As for the rest of you who want somebody else to tell you what to do, get off you shovels, put out your camels, and help make this the promised land.
the soap box is yours...
these guys are behind the curve always...there is no way they can predict market
direction...and there is no way they can pick stocks...they are in business to sell
advice..and their advice is usually wrong...you are better off selecting a macro trend
and then putting your money in a plain index...at least that way, if you are right on the
trend you will profit....whether its cramer or myridari or jubak they all have no clue
of what the market will do ...and to add to that..any invidividual investor who thinks
he can out trade a computer program which trades hundreds of thousands of shares
in nano seconds both ways is kidding himself..take the metal etf's for example by
the time the market opens they have moved in pre marketing trading and you will always
be too late to ride the wave..same with many stocks there are always surprises to the
upside and the downside..and by the time you get a stock recommendation its way too late
You also have to suspect a shift of global investing dollars from the rest of the world to the good old USA. We are probably perceived as one of the last bastions of safe investing.
We are probably perceived as one of the last bastions of safe investing.Ice Cold Sangria .. last month China made the offer to re-invest in America's infrastructure with part of the trade surplus money, they have accumulated. Smart move by China, in my opinion. I wonder if this is one of the items that will be on the agenda of Treasure Secretary Geithner, on his visit to China this week?
to red billy...
It's called and brain and education. A computer is a tool, a machine that runs programs that were written by people. Yes smart people who have tried to look at hundreds of various situations and written a set of rules for the computer to follow in these circumstances. The problem with computers is that when they run into situations they have not been programmed for they don't know what to do, they make errors or sometimes just quit and ask for help. Who do they ask, people with brains that think! That 7# object at the top of your neck is still the best computer ever made. It does things that no computer has ever done, it can imagine, it can suppose, it's not bounded by a fixed set of rules, it can improvise, adapt, foresee and understand the moods of people and circumstances.
Now I use a computer as does every one I know in today's world. They can crunch numbers much faster than I can. But I put in the numbers, I tell it what to do with them and where to put them in other programs for further study. But what is important is that I must say this looks good or bad, I decide that. Yes a program could tell me that this number is with the parameters set but I don't believe that any one short of maybe Bill G. in Washington could afford to build the system or have the programmers constantly working with the daily news and world events to say "No, that number isn't so good today cause Iran is saber rattling again and there's another oil fire in the gulf." My poor little brain knows all that already because I watch for news and events that could affect this and tells me this is not good enough for now.
How do I know what affects my decisions, I went to school, got an education and spent years in the school of life. Sometimes I got kicked in the gut, sometimes I ate prime rib over my decisions but I tried to learn from them what works and, what doesn't , what will get me in the front corner office for a pat on the back and what is liable to come back and bit me. What I have learned is to careful , complete as I can and precise. Take responsibility for my actions and none for the actions of others. Give credit where credit is due and don't expect anything extra for just doing your job. You want extra, do extra.
You tell me where the computer is that can do that and I will personally kiss your **** in the middle of time square at noon, after we arrange to buy the damn thing.
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Stocks drift lower and bonds are hit as investors await the Fed. Prepare for higher volatility this week.
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