Why you should stay away from Yelp

A cloud hangs over this much-hyped IPO -- and it has everything to do with a lack of profit.

By Jonathan Berr Feb 27, 2012 4:53PM

Image: Man with laptop (© Ken Seet/SuperStock)Yelp, which is going public this week, won't be profitable for quite a while -- if ever.


The reviews site is lucky to not be in a deeper financial hole than its $41.2 million deficit at the end of last year. Total expenses soared to $99.5 million from $7.67 million in 2007, a gain of nearly 1,200%, while revenue rose more than 2,100% to $83.3 million from $3.74 million.  


Its not a question of if Yelp's costs will grow at a faster rate than revenue -- but when. This is all spelled out in Yelp's S-1.


In its filing, the San Francisco company said it expects its revenue growth rate to decline in the future for a number of reasons. Those include a maturation of the business and fewer cities left to expand into. And costs will rise, the company said, particularly for sales and marketing, product development and technology infrastructure.

What did Yelp tell investors in its IPO road show? The following video has details.

Post continues below.
Yelp certainly is a great product, attracting 66 million monthly unique visitors who have posted 25 million business reviews. Its hold on its user base, though, is tenuous at best. Competitors range from Angie's List  (ANGI), whose shares are down more than 3% over the past year despite a much-hyped IPO, to Google (GOOG), which bought the popular Zagat site last year. 

Yelp's relationship with Google is especially problematic. CEO Jeremy Stoppelman sought help from the federal government last year, claiming the search engine giant stole its content after Yelp turned down a Google buyout offer. Google has denied wrongdoing.

Google was responsible for more than half of Yelp's traffic in 2011, The Wall Street Journal reported. But Google removed some of its links to Yelp and promoted its own competing products in search results, the newspaper added.

There isn't just one red flag that should concern investors. There is an entire color guard of things that can and probably will go wrong for the money-losing company. Profitability, if it ever comes, is years away.

To be sure, Yelp is fun to use. Rating sites, though, are a dime a dozen. One day, maybe soon, the next Yelp will emerge that will be even cooler than the original. Yelp will be cast aside quicker than you can say MySpace.

You can bet that Yelp's shares will skyrocket after its IPO, only to come crashing down to earth in the coming weeks. Its price will stay low until Yelp figures out how to make money.

--Jonathan Berr enjoys trashing pretentious restaurants on Yelp.  He won't be buying the stock.
 


 





 

 
0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

127
127 rated 1
269
269 rated 2
463
463 rated 3
586
586 rated 4
657
657 rated 5
616
616 rated 6
644
644 rated 7
431
431 rated 8
263
263 rated 9
138
138 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
COPConocoPhillips10
NWSNews Ord Shs Class B10
YHOOYahoo! Inc10
TJXTJX Companies Inc9
AMXAmerica Movil ADR Rep 20 Ord Shs Series L9
More

LATEST POSTS

Scary story: the 2013 market looks like 1987

All hail the bull market, which ended the week with a big rally. But it also is starting to look a little like 1987, which suffered an epic blow-out.

Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.