RIM still looks grim

Research In Motion posted better-than-expected second quarter results, but it's not sustainable.

By TheStreet Staff Sep 28, 2012 1:31PM

TheStreet.com logoBusinessman in car with smartphone copyright Image Source, Image Source, Getty ImagesBy  Chris Ciaccia

 

Research In Motion (RIMM) beat second-quarter expectations, but that doesn't mean it's out of the woods. Not by a long shot.

 

The Canadian company reported an adjusted loss of $142 million, or 27 cents a share, for its fiscal second quarter ended in August on revenue of $2.87 billion. The performance was well ahead of the average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters for a loss of 46 cents a share on revenue of $2.5 billion.

 

Even though shares were soaring in early morning trade, RIM still lost money. It didn't actually turn a profit. Revenue may have beat estimates, but it's still down nearly 40% year over year. That isn't a sign the company has turned a corner. It's a sign that the company has stopped the free-fall. For now.

 

The fact that RIM has 80 million global users and that its cash balance grew approximately $100 million to $2.3 billion are good points, but the cash growth might be a one trick pony, warns Sterne Agee's Shaw Wu. "We remain concerned with the sustainability given its accounts receivable balance has declined by $1 billion over the last two quarters and its core operation remains unprofitable," Wu wrote in a research note. He rates shares "neutral."

 

RIM CEO Thorsten Heins heavily hyped the company's new platform, BlackBerry 10 during a conference call late on Thursday. Heins said RIM has been meeting with dozens of carriers from 16 countries to show them the new platform, which is expected to ship in the first quarter of 2013.

 

It's still uncertain whether consumers will actually care, given that Apple (AAPL) recently launched the iPhone 5 and Samsung's Galaxy S3 continues to sell extremely well. Wu wrote that he isn't sure whether BB10 will be effective against iOS, Google's (GOOG) Android, and Microsoft's (MSFT) Windows. (Microsoft owns and publishes Top Stocks, an MSN Money site.)

 

Credit Suisse analyst Kulbinder Garcha said the quarterly results were okay, but that a turnaround is still a challenge, given the company's products. "With an uncompetitive product portfolio and the need for further restructuring, we believe that there a few positives ahead for the company," Garcha wrote in his note. He rates shares "neutral" with a $7 price target.

 

Garcha, like many on Wall Street (myself included), believe the only savior for the company would be an outright sale. Heins touched a little bit on the strategic review process RIM is undertaking, but didn't offer any updates. Considering that the service revenue stream is running low (with carriers pressuring these fees), RIM's prospects of surviving on its own appear bleak at best.

 

I leave you with a limerick on RIM, courtesy of TheStreet's Eric Rosenbaum:

 

RIMM

Could have been more grim

Than it has been

But has been still

If you will:

With the zombie now a pop culture fad

Why not smartphone stock walking dead?

 

Interested in more on Research In Motion? See TheStreet Ratings' report card for this stock.

 

More from TheStreet.com

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Morningstar Inc. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Morningstar Inc. Quotes delayed by up to 15 minutes, except where indicated otherwise. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by Morningstar Inc.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

138
138 rated 1
288
288 rated 2
457
457 rated 3
666
666 rated 4
712
712 rated 5
619
619 rated 6
673
673 rated 7
446
446 rated 8
271
271 rated 9
120
120 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
NRGNRG Energy Inc9
DHID.R Horton Inc8
MGMMGM Resorts International8
MRVLMarvell Technology Group Ltd8
ONNNON Semiconductor Corporation8
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.