A very merry Christmas for Amazon

But the e-commerce giant can't put growth before profits forever.

By 247 Wall St. Dec 6, 2012 12:50PM

Amazon.com logo copyright Spencer Platt, Getty ImagesBy Douglas A. McIntyre, 24/7 Wall St.

 

Critics find fault with Amazon.com (AMZN) for many reasons, among them: the e-commerce company's penchant for offering free shipping that damages margins; its entry into too many many businesses, including video on demand; and concerns it may be selling some of its Kindle products at a loss in the hopes of selling books or software for the device later. 


However, none of these perceived shortcomings have perturbed Amazon's base of enthusiastic stockholders.

 

Amazon's share price has risen from just above $220 before Thanksgiving to $254. That has outperformed the Nasdaq over the same period, and topped shares of the two companies that by almost all measures have the largest online visitor bases after Amazon -- Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Target Corp. (TGT). Amazon's growth for the current quarter will have to be spectacular to justify the run-up.

 

Analysts expect Amazon's revenue in the current quarter to reach $22.5 billion, up from $17.4 billion in the same period a year ago. The e-tailer's sales improvement record would justify the estimates, but forecasts for net income are another matter. Many analysts expect per-share earnings to be flat at around $0.38. That level would seem to be a disappointment, but Amazon's share price says otherwise.

 

Investors seem content for now that widely regarded founder and CEO Jeff Bezos has made a reasonable trade-off between top line growth and a sacrifice of earnings to keep a torrid pace of revenue improvement. There will be a tipping point among Wall St. investors, though, when they believe the earnings sacrifice is too great.


That tipping point has not yet come. But if per-share earnings show a sharp drop in the current quarter because of Bezos's strategic plan to gain market share, the share price improvement will end.

 

More from 24/7 Wall St.

 

0Comments

DATA PROVIDERS

Copyright © 2013 Microsoft. All rights reserved.

Quotes are real-time for NASDAQ, NYSE and AMEX. See delay times for other exchanges.

Fundamental company data and historical chart data provided by Thomson Reuters (click for restrictions). Real-time quotes provided by BATS Exchange. Real-time index quotes and delayed quotes supplied by Interactive Data Real-Time Services. Fund summary, fund performance and dividend data provided by Morningstar Inc. Analyst recommendations provided by Zacks Investment Research. StockScouter data provided by Verus Analytics. IPO data provided by Hoover's Inc. Index membership data provided by SIX Financial Information.

Japanese stock price data provided by Nomura Research Institute Ltd.; quotes delayed 20 minutes. Canadian fund data provided by CANNEX Financial Exchanges Ltd.

STOCK SCOUTER

StockScouter rates stocks from 1 to 10, with 10 being the best, using a system of advanced mathematics to determine a stock's expected risk and return. Ratings are displayed on a bell curve, meaning there will be fewer ratings of 1 and 10 and far more of 4 through 7.

131
131 rated 1
262
262 rated 2
443
443 rated 3
602
602 rated 4
719
719 rated 5
586
586 rated 6
611
611 rated 7
456
456 rated 8
279
279 rated 9
123
123 rated 10
12345678910

Top Picks

SYMBOLNAMERATING
ABTAbbott Laboratories10
AIGAmerican International Group Inc10
ATVIActivision Blizzard Inc10
CACA Inc10
CSCOCisco Systems Inc10
More
Fidelity Brokerage Services, Member NYSE, SIPC. (c) 2011 FMR LLC. All rights reserved

VIDEO ON MSN MONEY

ABOUT

Top Stocks provides analysis about the most noteworthy stocks in the market each day, combining some of the best content from around the MSN Money site and the rest of the Web.

Contributors include professional investors and journalists affiliated with MSN Money.

Follow us on Twitter @topstocksmsn.